Clinton and Trump – Photos: Gage Skidmore/Wikimedia Commons
We’ve heard of candidates courting the LGBT vote. But if presumptive party frontrunners Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump want to find some of their staunchest supporters, perhaps they should start courting gay dating app users.
Last Friday, Scruff, a social app for gay men, released the results of an in-app presidential campaign survey, aptly called “Scrufftistics.” Out of the 15,000 who responded, an overwhelming majority are Democrats, and both Clinton and Trump are overwhelming favorites when it comes to selecting a presidential nominee.
Scruff users are more left-leaning, with 71% of respondents identifying with Democrats, nine times the 8% who identified as Republicans. A little less than 16% identified as independents, with Libertarians and “other” each claiming 2%. One percent identified with the Green Party.
Clinton leads Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders by more than 30 points, earning the support of nearly 63% of Scruff users, compared to Sanders, who enjoys 31% support. Nearly 6% of Democrats are undecided, and fewer than 1% support some other candidate.
Donald Trump, meanwhile, wins the GOP field with almost 39%, boasting a 2o-point lead over Florida Senator Marco Rubio, in second with 19%. Twelve percent of self-identified Republicans are undecided, with Ohio Gov. John Kasich earning almost 9%, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz earning 6%, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush — who has since dropped out of the race — earning 4.5%, and neurosurgeon Ben Carson winning just over 2% support. Eight percent support some other candidate.
Because so few Scruff users identified as Republicans and were spread out among the 50 states and the District of Columbia, Scruff was unable to do an extensive state-by-state analysis of the Republican field. Six states had more than 50 Republican respondents — New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida, Texas and California — and Trump won all of them, with Rubio coming in second in Virginia, Florida, Texas and California. In Pennsylvania, undecided got the second-highest number of votes, while in New York, “other” came in second.
Among Democrats, Clinton wins in 43 states and the District of Columbia, where she enjoys a 60-point margin over Sanders. Clinton does best in the American South, where she bests Sanders by more than 25 points in almost every state except Delaware, West Virginia and Louisiana, where her leads are more than 15 points.
Sanders does best among Democrats in his home state of Vermont, where he holds a 50-point edge on Clinton. He also holds double-digit leads over Clinton in the states of New Hampshire, Maine and Montana, and narrow leads of 4 points in Idaho and New Mexico. The two contenders tie in the state of South Dakota in a hypothetical Democratic primary.